The United States relies heavily on foreign markets for fresh produce, with roughly 60% of fresh fruit and 40% of fresh vegetables coming from abroad, much of it coming from Mexico. This means that President-elect Donald Trump’s looming threat of a 25% tariff on goods crossing the U.S.-Mexico border could lead to higher prices for a range of popular products.

Mexico is a leading exporter of tomatoes, avocados, raspberries, bell peppers, and strawberries to the U.S., according to data from the University of California, Davis. In 2022, Mexico alone accounted for 69% of U.S. vegetable imports and 51% of fresh fruit imports, as reported by the U.S. Department of Agriculture.